Brazilians will vote in a highly polarized presidential race on Sunday. Here's what to know

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Brief Summary

Brazil is heading to the polls in a high-stakes, polarized election that pits the veteran leftist Lula da Silva against the young firebrand Flávio Bolsonaro. With the elder Bolsonaro barred from running due to a coup attempt conviction, his son has picked up the mantle, pushing a hardline security agenda that includes building massive prisons and aligning closely with Trump-era foreign policy. Lula, meanwhile, is struggling to maintain his base amid plummeting approval ratings and voter frustration over cost-of-living increases and rampant organized crime.

Why This Matters

This election isn't just a local matter; it signals whether Latin America's largest economy will pivot further toward the U.S. or deepen its resistance to American influence. The outcome will dictate trade policies that could impact U.S. import prices and agricultural markets, as well as the future of climate initiatives regarding the Amazon. As Washington continues to flex its muscles with tariffs and geopolitical posturing, the winner will determine if Brazil remains a cooperative partner or a defiant adversary in the Western Hemisphere.

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